警惕！这个中东大国通胀直奔全球第一！常见外贸骗局甚至以国名为代号！-ESG跨境

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轻松外贸

学习外贸知识，掌握外贸技巧，解决外贸问题，寻找外贸伙伴就来「轻松外贸」，轻松外贸，让外贸轻松起来！

公众号

来说说臭名昭著的“土耳其骗局”！

这段时间说起全球通胀最严重的国家，土耳其一定有姓名。

俄乌冲突爆发后，不断推高全球能源和原材料价格，而土耳其的资源主要依赖进口，这回真是遭了殃。

6月，土耳其通胀率逼近80%，位居全球第一，达到1998年以来的最高水平

；消费者信心指数则降至63.4，创下这一数据有记录以来的最低水平。

德意志银行经济学家在最近的一份报告中表示：

“土耳其通胀率正处于螺旋式上升。”

目前土耳其食品等其他必需品价格直线上涨，许多人甚至已经吃不起肉了。

“土豪”才能吃上肉！

在过去一年里，土耳其食品价格翻了近一番，通胀率达到93.9%。

现在只有土耳其的“豪门”才能吃得起肉了，以土耳其人喜爱的碎牛肉为例，

在过去8个月里，它的价格涨幅达到了100%，其他肉类价格也经历了类似涨幅。

随着肉价上涨，对于土耳其普通老百姓来说，肉类食品正从他们的餐桌上消失。土耳其一个四口之家的平均每年的牛羊肉消费量从2017年的56公斤减少到如今的28公斤，五年里消费量经历了“腰斩”。

土耳其首都安卡拉市民梅尔耶姆这样说：

“现在我没法每个月买肉，坦白说，我几个月才买一次肉。我把肉分成五份，每顿一份。”

土耳其肉类产业和生产者协会会长于杰桑说，与疫情前相比，土耳其人均牛羊肉消费量下降了41%。对土耳其人来说，吃肉渐渐成为一件奢侈的事情。据了解，土耳其约有三分之一的民众依靠最低工资生活，但是最低工资能够买到的肉越来越少。

土耳其总统埃尔多安呼吁民众保持耐心，并在近期表示，

明年2月至3月，通胀将放缓至“合理”水平

。不知道土耳其人有没有被安慰到。

汇率贬值48%！

敢想吗？

里拉兑美元汇率在过去12个月下跌了48%，而土耳其外债总额与外汇储备比值高达732%，在新兴市场国家中债务风险最高。

8月1日，土耳其里拉对美元汇率已经达到了17.95:1，创下近8个月来最低水平，距离去年12月20日的18也仅有一步之遥。

这主要是由于去年9月该国央行开始“不走寻常路”，通过多次大幅降息来对抗高通胀。土耳其经济学家穆拉特·萨曼说，

里拉贬值将引发更严重的通胀，大宗商品价格将继续上涨。

当地人表示：

“如果你的钱是土耳其里拉，你就把你的钱换成美元、欧元、黄金，或者买房买车，而不是把土耳其里拉留在手里。”

为了抵御通胀，二手汽车竟成为土耳其人资产保值的“硬通货”。有土耳其二手车买家表示，

买二手车是为了投资，1到2个小时之后，甚至可以涨价20%。

本币严重贬值，使得土耳其民众购买力下降，进口商成本增加、采购意愿降低。而埃尔多安曾多次呼吁用本币里拉进行贸易以支撑其汇率，该国央行希望通过采取鼓励去美元化的措施来抑制物价增长。

目前土耳其的情况利于出口，而不利于进口。

土耳其被欧洲媒体称为“欧洲的工厂”，惠誉国际信用评级机构在其最新的分析报告中证实，土耳其将是从欧洲供应链转型中受益最大的国家。

得益于政府为出口商提供的廉价贷款和里拉贬值，土耳其以约35亿美元的出口额实现对美国史上最高的第一季度出口。

而对于土耳其进口商而言，一季度下的采购订单，到了二季度交货时，利润平白少了十几个点，谁能接受这样的汇兑损失？在这种情况下，有些进口商会不会铤而走险、拖欠货款？

谨防“土耳其骗局”！

根据土耳其商会和商品交易所联盟公布的数据，今年前5个月，土耳其约7500多家企业倒闭。

其中仅5月就多达2000家企业倒闭，较去年同期增加了259.7%。

分析指出，6月这一数据恐怕会更高。

当前土耳其经济不景气，

外贸人需要提防著名的“土耳其骗局”

。（其他7个经典骗局，请见这里：

做外贸，注意防范这8个经典骗局！

）

这种骗局之所以能冠上“土耳其”的名字，主要是由于它来源于土耳其海关的漏洞：

在船只到达土耳其港口前，货代即需要将货物登记在收货人名下，将来如有任何变更，均需获得原收货人的书面同意。这样的规定所产生的直接结果，就是

所有权在货物实际交付前已经转移至收货人，而不论收货人是否完成了其在贸易合同中的各项义务。

货物到港后进口商应在45天内完成提货手续，否则货物将被罚没（confiscate）并进行拍卖。不过45天届满后，收货人（买方）有两次申请延期的机会，每次30天，且不需要提交延期理由。此后，收货人还有一个申请延期30天提货的机会，但需向海关解释延期原因。因此，在收货人的配合下，货物在到港后135天内通常不会进入拍卖程序，不过在此期间产生的滞港、仓储等费用难以避免。

对于长期滞留港口或者无人提取的货物，海关将作无货主处理，有权拍卖此货物，此时原进口商为第一购买人。

这为骗子创造了骗货的条件。

骗子会先注册一个土耳其的空头公司，由该公司出面将中国出口的货物骗到土耳其海关，故意拖延时间，导致最后海关拍卖，然后用很低的价格买进，再高价卖出分赃。

又或者，在土耳其国内经济情势不稳、贸易风险大增的今天，原先诚信的买家蒙受损失之后，会不会利用这个漏洞铤而走险？

特别声明：以上文章内容仅代表作者本人观点，不代表ESG跨境电商观点或立场。如有关于作品内容、版权或其它问题请于作品发表后的30日内与ESG跨境电商联系。